Inflation - Transitory again..

April 2 dealing approaching!

Doctor Copper!

Mag 7 = Lag 7

A New Closest to The Pin!

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 Warm-Up
- Inflation - Transitory again
- End of month - March not so good for US Markets - investors may try to squeeze toward the end
- Tariff waves - now there is talk of softening - April 2 is the day - next Wednesday.
- A restaurant Chain at ALL-TIME highs....
- Turkey - Market Mayhem
- An fun Limerick from a Listener

Markets
- Doctor Copper!
- Mag 7 = Lag 7
- Tesla Woes- Stock bouncing but challenges still remain
- March Sadness for Markets...

Attention Collectors! 
- The New DHUnplugged shirts are finally here! We are going to sell only 6 - the donations received by the end of the month above $250 will get a shirt - Nice white swim/light long sleeve. (The rest are reserved for winners and special occasions) - We will also have the #1 as the first shirt ever out to the public for $1,000.
-  Put your address and size in the comments

Tariff Day
- April 2nd is the date that the retaliatory tariffs go on
- Why April 2nd? Why not April 1st??????
--- Worried that is April Fool's day and no one would take them seriously?

Copper Prices
- 45 year high
- What is this? Usually a predictor of the economic conditions -
- Seems like a little inflation (China also pumping)
- FYI - An average single-family home contains roughly 439 pounds (or 200 kilograms) of copper, primarily in wiring, plumbing, appliances, and hardware
 Doctor Copper
What about Coffee?
- Chart - Cents per pound
- These increases are driven by climate-related impacts on major coffee-producing countries like Brazil and Vietnam, as well as financial speculation in the market
- DOUBLE THE PRICE of last year
 Coffee Prices
Housing Prices
- Reports that tariff induced panic is prices of raw materials is pushing prices up
- Developers are not going to get behind and this may push prices up - on average $10,000 per new home (at least)

Powell on Inflation
- Back to Transitory
- In his latest speech/commentary last week, he hinted that he believes that the current
- During his post-decision press conference last Wednesday, Powell said tariff-induced inflation could be “transitory,” or temporary.
- Here we go again!

Stagflation Anyone?
- Fed sees higher inflation and an economy growing by less than 2% this year
- The rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee downgraded its collective outlook for economic growth to 1.7%, down from the last projection of 2.1% in December. In the meantime, officials hiked their inflation outlook, seeing core prices growing at a 2.8% annual pace, up from the previous estimate of 2.5%.
- In a statement, the FOMC noted the "uncertainty around the economic outlook has increased," adding that the central bank is "attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate."

Meanwhile...
- The 3-month Treasury rate inverted against the 10-year for a bit earlier this month.
- Currently they are locked at the same rate...
- This is the Fed's "preferred" measure of the potential for a recession in the future.

Boeing
- Boeing wins $20-billion contract for Next Generation Air Dominance program
- Win comes after Boeing annual loss, strike, other setbacks
- On the news, Boeing's shares rise, Lockheed's fall
- Lockheed has been plagued by delays in F-35 upgrade
- New name of the aircraft? The F-47 !

New-Clear Energy
- A nuclear power plant on the shores of Lake Michigan is aiming to make history this fall by becoming the first reactor in the U.S. to restart operations after shutting down to be eventually dismantled.

DHUnplugged #745: The Lag 7